Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 14.039649 16.390032 18.952950 21.947345 25.341659 29.061478 33.437910
2025-05-11 9.927342 13.087153 16.893612 21.778032 27.836484 35.058575 44.268686
2025-05-18 7.438113 10.826244 15.246944 21.350198 29.456939 39.743202 53.651514
2025-05-25 5.779414 9.169925 13.907772 20.863940 30.639532 43.685049 62.163959
2025-06-01 4.588844 7.877887 12.767191 20.347490 31.535583 47.124898 70.091549
2025-06-08 3.571827 6.621951 11.434571 19.290985 31.429022 49.026794 75.893811
2025-06-15 3.171835 6.266037 11.391850 20.114215 34.088034 54.987761 87.791674
2025-06-22 2.764412 5.813641 11.110500 20.491066 36.046520 60.002815 98.587494
2025-06-29 2.307942 5.180998 10.422541 20.090595 36.689175 63.008875 106.495936
2025-07-06 1.877374 4.509086 9.557499 19.260129 36.505684 64.651599 112.334450
2025-07-13 1.764308 4.456594 9.816294 20.431004 39.776217 72.008129 127.593915
2025-07-20 1.656512 4.394072 10.041875 21.551703 43.030725 79.518707 143.498480
2025-07-27 1.463065 4.126742 9.871517 21.998410 45.291796 85.801939 158.268648
2025-08-03 1.243151 3.754552 9.442143 21.916857 46.634522 90.712309 171.249763
2025-08-10 1.034124 3.355613 8.886390 21.502026 47.297914 94.470053 182.501602
2025-08-17 0.856572 2.989654 8.336581 21.015445 47.751984 97.852944 193.274554
2025-08-24 0.707849 2.660096 7.809186 20.496216 48.068267 100.972645 203.730157
2025-08-31 0.559028 2.281742 7.087570 19.433101 47.146751 101.682543 209.833710
2025-09-07 0.515772 2.226221 7.180124 20.261563 50.256721 110.258381 230.857768
2025-09-14 0.459553 2.110056 7.090533 20.640797 52.427780 117.138602 249.075015
2025-09-21 0.384418 1.900789 6.704214 20.237798 52.837414 120.558030 260.913064
2025-09-28 0.309027 1.660518 6.178052 19.402066 52.182187 121.773437 268.554213
2025-10-05 0.297147 1.673196 6.412389 20.580356 56.254662 132.889163 296.063632